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Virginia vs. Notre Dame odds, line: College basketball picks, predictions from model on 15-6 run

Saturday’s college basketball slate rolls on when No. 3 Virginia travels to face Notre Dame at 1 p.m. ET. The Fighting Irish (11-8, 1-5) have lost five of their past six, while Virginia (17-1, 5-1) enters Saturday’s ACC matchup having won 17 of its 18 games to start the season. The latest Virginia vs. Notre Dame odds have the Cavaliers favored by 11.5 points, while the over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is set at 122.5.

Before you make any Virginia vs. Notre Dame picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. 

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. And it enters Week 12 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a strong 15-6 run on top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anybody who has been following it is way up. 

Now, the model has studied the Virginia vs. Notre Dame spread from every angle and crunched the numbers. We can tell you the model likes the over, and it also has generated an extremely strong point-spread selection that hits well over 60 percent of the time. That pick is available at SportsLine.

The model knows Virginia boasts the nation’s stingiest defense. The Cavaliers are holding their opponents to just 52.4 points per game, which ranks first in the country. Tony Bennett’s team is also holding their opponents to an abysmal 37.4 field goal percentage.

On offense, Virginia’s trio of playmakers, De’Andre Hunter, Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome, are all averaging over 13 points per game and shooting 40 percent or better from three point range. That’s because their focus is on shot quality on offense, which allows the Cavaliers to get high-quality looks. 

But just because the Cavaliers are playing well on both sides of the court doesn’t mean they’ll cover the Virginia vs. Notre Dame spread.

Despite losing five of their last six, the Fighting Irish have found themselves an explosive playmaker that can take over a game. Junior forward John Mooney is an extremely difficult matchup for opposing defenders and he enters Saturday’s tilt averaging 14.4 points and 10.8 rebounds per game this season. He’s an offensive mismatch who has been unstoppable in ACC play, recording five straight double-doubles. 

So which side of the Virginia vs. Notre Dame spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Virginia vs. Notre Dame spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed college hoops, and find out.

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